Post-election market drama

Last Tuesday evening, while dining with family and business associates, I had one eye on the elections and the other on the Dow Jones Futures Index, a proxy for the Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) in the non-trading hours. At one point, the futures were down 900 points, and I was drooling over the prospect of […]

Assessing the market now that recession fears have disappeared

With recession fears now nowhere to be found, the market averages have raced their way back to a positive return for the year, a much-welcomed development considering where they were on Feb. 11. The bears have retired to their caves, and the negativism in the media has all but disappeared. The rising price of oil […]

Apparently, the Rest of the World Does Matter

Wow! What a week – talk about volatility! On Sunday, the “Xoi” (No) vote from the Greek referendum apparently hardened the Greek government’s negotiating line; There was an intensification of the meltdown on the Shanghai equity market Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday; There was a 3 hour trading halt at the NYSE on Wednesday; Then there […]

“Set it and forget it” a terrible portfolio philosophy

“Set it and forget it” a terrible portfolio philosophy Robert Barone, Ph.D. 2:53 p.m. PDT April 30, 2015 Neither passive investment strategies nor robo-advisors can maximize profits as well as active management Today’s Wall Street is perpetuating the idea that investor portfolios cannot perform better than the market indexes. The markets are “efficient,” they say, […]

Reconciling Contradictory Data

Originally published in RGJ’s Business Section, Sunday, 4/5/15 The markets are still concerned about a weakening U.S. economy, as data from the industrial portion of the economy continues to show weakness, even in March. The ISM Manufacturing Index fell to 51.5 in March, its lowest level in more than 2 years; ADP indicated that private sector […]

Uncertainties driving the markets

Originally published on RGJ’s website, http://www.rgj.com/story/money/business/2015/03/20/uncertainties-driving-markets/25113763/ The financial markets have been focused on three uncertainties: the strong and rising value of the dollar vis a vis other currencies, weakening U.S. economic indicators, and the timing and magnitude of Fed policy actions. All this with a background of the ongoing Greek tragedy and continued political strife […]