Why Interest Rates Are Falling
#*!? CRASH BAM @#$ Suddenly, markets (well, at least the bond market) now see falling interest rates in the short and intermediate term. The 10-Year U.S. T-Note fell from 1.47% on June 30 to close at 1.29% on Thursday July 7 (a big move in just four market sessions). Some of the rapid fall was due to […]
4/10/2019 Equity Market Appears to be Moving to the Sound of Its Own Drummer
There were several recent market moving reports, including some positive data on U.S. and Chinese manufacturing. But, the biggest news was the seemingly positive March employment data which sent equity markets up, as the initial take on the headline Establishment Survey (ES) data (+196k) fit the narrative that the soft economic patch is now passing […]
Barone: Housing doldrums a supply problem
One of the key indicators of U.S. economic health is housing – both the turnover of the existing housing stock and the construction of new units. Existing home sales, new home sales, and housing starts all peaked earlier this year. Given the health of the U.S. consumer, as vividly demonstrated in the employment and auto […]
How inflation may force millennials to reconsider risk
Originally published on Marketwatch.com http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-inflation-may-force-millennials-to-reconsider-risk-2014-12-02?dist=afterbell Millennials are people born after 1980. I’ve seen sources that give differing dates, but I think being born between about 1980 and 2000 qualifies you as a millennial. Pew Research has done some interesting polling and found that millennials grew up with technology, like video games, send lots of text […]
Part I: The Short-Term Outlook – A Strong and Accelerating Economy
Those who read our blogs know that over the past 6 months or so, we have turned positive on the underlying private sector of the U.S. economy. We have had comments from several readers about this apparent change of heart, some of them almost in disbelief. So, let us dispel any doubts. There is a […]