Rates Spike, Sentiment Softens – Real Inflation Already at Target

Is a Recession Imminent? The relentless upward spike in interest rates continued this past week despite Fedspeak implying that the Fed will continue to be in “pause” mode, at least at the November 1st meeting. Rates on 10-Year Treasury Notes closed on Friday (October 20) at 4.91%. During the trading day, the 10-Year almost pierced […]

Measuring inflation is inexact, biased process

I have written extensively about how “official” inflation is dramatically biased. I have often quoted figures published by economist John Williams (Shadowstats.com) that indicate how the CPI would be significantly higher if the 1980 computation methodology were used. To further this argument, Ed Butowsky (Chapwood Investments, Dallas), has created an alternative Consumer Price Index (CPI). […]